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08 July 2008

Answer to Question #1757 Submitted to "Ask the Experts"

Category: Environmental and Background Radiation — Fallout

The following question was answered by an expert in the appropriate field:

Like thousands of other people, I was appalled at the contents of the recent government report on the impact of radiation fallout. I developed osteosarcoma in 1955 and survived. The government report has me wondering about the connection between radiation and bone cancer in children. My family lived in Nevada in the early 1950s and my father worked at one of the nuclear sites. Most of the children with osteosarcoma died in those days—95% if I'm correct. So I am curious how these children have been included in the demographic studies. I am also curious if studies can be made measuring the presence of mutations or radiation in survivors? If a connection can be made, I would like to include myself in the data bank. I would appreciate it very much if you could point me in some useful directions.

Unfortunately, no one can say with absolute certainty whether your osteosarcoma was or was not related to fallout radiation. There are several reasons for the uncertainty:

Your radiation dose, if any, is unknown—or at least not stated.
The interval between radiation exposure and appearance of any radiation-induced cancer is known to be years to decades. Most of the cancers in Japanese atomic bomb survivors appeared after 1970, some 25 years after exposure. Your diagnosis of osteosarcoma in 1955 puts it in the uncertain-to-unlikely time range after exposure.
There are no data that show unequivocally that low-dose radiation (such as from most fallout) causes cancer or any other harmful effect. Conversely, there are no data that prove that these exposures are completely without effect. There is a growing body of evidence that shows that, at the molecular or cellular level, these small doses are not harmful—but these results cannot be safely extrapolated to effects such as human cancer.

A number of studies have been done on cancer incidence, mutations, etc., in populations exposed to radiation. Fatalities are included. In fact, some studies have used only fatalities because of greater certainty in the data. These studies have shown an association between radiation at higher doses and cancer—but not at doses below about 100 mSv delivered at high dose rates. At low dose rates, such as from fallout, environmental, or medical, the radiation effect per unit dose is substantially less. No studies have shown any statistically significant increase in mutations in any human population exposed to radiation. Hope this is helpful. S. Julian Gibbs, DDS, PhD

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